Sunday, May 27, 2012

Florida: Romney up 6 points in Florida; Rubio has little impact as GOP running mate


May 23, 2012 - Romney Up 6 Points In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Rubio Has Little Impact As GOP Running Mate
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Gov. Mitt Romney holds a 47 - 41 percent lead over President Barack Obama in Florida, where 63 percent of voters say the president's support of same-sex marriage will not affect their vote, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 25 - 11 percent of voters, including 23 - 9 percent among independent voters, say Obama's support of gay marriage makes them less likely to support his candidacy.

Adding Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio to the GOP ticket would give the Republican Romney/Rubio team a 49 - 41 percent lead over President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden. Romney's lead in the horse race compares to a 44 - 43 percent tie in a May 3 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 49 - 42 percent Obama lead March 28. Florida registered voters say 52 - 44 percent that the president does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office and by 52 - 44 percent give him a thumbs-down on his job approval. "Gov. Mitt Romney has slipped into the lead in Florida and that standing is confirmed by his much better numbers than the president when voters are asked whether they view the candidates favorably or unfavorably. They view Romney favorably 44 - 35 percent, while Obama gets a negative 45 - 50 percent favorability," said Peter A. Brown, assistant vice president of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The overall picture in Florida is positive for Romney, who is ahead 50 - 37 percent among men, while women are divided 44 - 45 percent. And the president is getting just 33 percent of white votes, compared to 85 percent of black votes and 42 percent of Hispanic votes." With the bitter GOP primaries now behind him, Romney is winning Republicans 91 - 3 percent and independent voters 44 - 36 percent, while losing Democrats 87 - 4 percent. In the Romney/Rubio race verses Obama/Biden, independent voters back the Republican ticket 46 - 37 percent. Separate from their favorable opinion, Florida voters say 76 - 21 percent that Obama is a likeable person, compared to 58 - 30 percent for Romney. Even Republicans say 58 - 38 percent that Obama is likeable, while Democrats say 55 - 33 percent that Romney is not likeable. Independent voters say 73 - 23 percent that Obama is likeable and 58 - 31 percent that Romney is likeable. Romney is viewed as better able to handle the economy, 50 - 40 percent. On the issue of same-sex marriage, Florida voters, who have banned such unions in the State Constitution, now say they oppose them 50 - 40 percent. Men oppose same-sex marriage 55 - 35 percent while women are divided 44 - 46 percent. Support is 57 - 33 percent among voters under 35 years old. Opposition is 52 - 38 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old and 55 - 36 percent among voters over 55. When given a three-way choice:
  • 36 percent favor gay marriage;
  • 34 percent back civil unions;
  • 23 percent oppose all legal recognition.
A total of 22 percent of Florida voters say same-sex marriage is "extremely important" or "very important" to their presidential vote, while 26 percent say "somewhat important" and 49 percent say "not important." Romney's opposition to same-sex marriage will not affect their vote, 56 percent of Florida votes say, while 23 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him and 19 percent say less likely. "While the issue of same-sex marriage looks like it affects only one-third of Florida voters, we know from experience what a few votes can mean in the Sunshine State," said Brown. From May 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,722 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Obama                41%     3%    87%    36%    37%    45%    33%    85%    42%
 Romney               47     91      4     44     50     44     56      3     40
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      5      3      1      3      -      1
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      4      3      2      2      1      7
 DK/NA                 7      3      6     12      7      7      6     11     10
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Obama                40%    30%    22%    28%    30%    37%    14%    33%    33%
 Romney               53     57     67     60     60     53     74     56     57
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      3      2      4      2      3      3      3
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      2      2      2      2      1      3      2
 DK/NA                 3      7      6      8      5      7      8      6      5
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Obama                47%    39%    46%    46%    40%    35%    45%    44%    39%
 Romney               44     48     36     43     51     59     34     48     51
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      3      2      3      2      2
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      4      3      2      -      4      3      2
 DK/NA                 5      8     12      6      5      4     14      4      6
  
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")

                                                              OBAMA.........
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Mar 28  Sep 22
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011
  
 Obama                41      43      49      45      43      49      40
 Romney               47      44      42      45      46      42      47
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       3       2       2       2       2       2
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2       2       3       3       2       4
 DK/NA                 7       9       5       6       6       5       8
  
  
 
3. Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Marco Rubio for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Obama/Biden          41%     3%    89%    37%    38%    44%    34%    86%    39%
 Romney/Rubio         49     92      5     46     52     46     58      5     45
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3      2      1      2      -      -
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      3      2      2      1      1      6
 DK/NA                 6      3      4     12      6      7      5      8     10
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Obama/Biden          40%    31%    23%    29%    30%    37%    17%    33%    32%
 Romney/Rubio         55     59     70     62     61     55     76     58     59
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3      -      3      1      2      2      2
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      3      1      2      1      2      1
 DK/NA                 2      7      4      6      5      6      5      5      6
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Obama/Biden          47%    39%    46%    47%    41%    35%    44%    45%    39%
 Romney/Rubio         46     50     39     44     52     61     37     49     53
 SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      1      1      1      2      2      1
 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      3      3      2      -      3      2      2
 DK/NA                 3      8     11      4      4      3     14      3      5
  
  
 
4. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Favorable            44%    81%    10%    40%    50%    39%    51%    10%    41%
 Unfavorable          35      7     68     33     31     38     32     56     27
 Hvn't hrd enough     19     11     20     24     18     19     14     33     27
 REFUSED               2      2      2      3      2      3      2      1      4
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Favorable            49%    52%    59%    54%    57%    45%    66%    49%    54%
 Unfavorable          39     29     25     29     28     37     17     34     29
 Hvn't hrd enough     11     16     14     16     14     15     14     16     14
 REFUSED               1      3      2      2      1      4      3      1      3
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Favorable            43%    45%    32%    40%    49%    59%    28%    46%    49%
 Unfavorable          41     32     38     38     36     28     33     36     36
 Hvn't hrd enough     14     21     27     20     12     12     36     15     13
 REFUSED               2      3      3      2      3      1      2      2      2
  
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                              FAVORABLE....
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Jan 11  Feb 07
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2007
  
 Favorable            44      40      41      43      47      47      13
 Unfavorable          35      34      36      37      29      29      11
 Hvn't hrd enough     19      22      19      17      22      22      75
 REFUSED               2       4       4       3       3       3       1
  
  
 
5. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Favorable            45%     8%    88%    42%    41%    48%    37%    83%    51%
 Unfavorable          50     90      7     49     54     46     60      9     38
 Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      3      4      3      3      1      6      9
 REFUSED               2      1      1      4      2      2      2      2      2
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Favorable            45%    34%    26%    32%    33%    41%    19%    37%    35%
 Unfavorable          52     63     71     65     64     55     78     59     60
 Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      2      1      1      1      2      2
 REFUSED               2      2      2      2      2      2      2      3      2
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Favorable            51%    43%    51%    50%    42%    41%    50%    47%    44%
 Unfavorable          45     52     43     44     54     58     38     51     53
 Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      4      2      3      -      8      2      1
 REFUSED               2      2      3      4      1      1      4      1      2
  
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                              FAVORABLE....
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Feb 19  Feb 07
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009    2007
  
 Favorable            45      46      51      49      45      69      37
 Unfavorable          50      47      44      48      50      22      18
 Hvn't hrd enough      3       4       2       1       3       6      44
 REFUSED               2       3       3       2       2       3       1
  
  
 
6. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Favorable            44%    79%    11%    40%    47%    41%    51%     9%    41%
 Unfavorable          24      3     48     24     25     24     23     35     23
 Hvn't hrd enough     31     17     40     35     27     34     25     54     35
 REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
  
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                              FAVORABLE......
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  Feb 03  Aug 19  Jul 30  Jun 09  May 23  Apr 16
                      2012    2011    2010    2010    2010    2012    2009
  
 Favorable            44      41      35      35      36      44      10
 Unfavorable          24      17      28      24      28      24      11
 Hvn't hrd enough     31      41      34      38      34      31      78
 REFUSED               1       2       2       3       2       1       2
  
  
 
7. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Favorable            36%     7%    72%    32%    31%    40%    30%    73%    32%
 Unfavorable          42     76      8     41     48     38     51      6     32
 Hvn't hrd enough     21     16     19     26     20     22     18     20     35
 REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      1      -      2
  
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      May 23  Dec 08  Feb 07
                      2012    2011    2007
  
 Favorable            36      37      20
 Unfavorable          42      40      22
 Hvn't hrd enough     21      21      57
 REFUSED               1       2       1
  
  
 
8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 More                 38%    51%    32%    29%    41%    34%    39%    42%    32%
 Less                 19     15     17     26     17     21     21      8     18
 About the same       42     33     50     44     41     43     40     47     47
 DK/NA                 2      1      1      1      1      2      1      3      2
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 More                 39%    38%    41%    42%    44%    34%    41%    40%    42%
 Less                 18     22     20     23     17     24     20     22     19
 About the same       42     39     38     33     39     41     38     36     39
 DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      1      1      1      -
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 More                 37%    38%    31%    35%    43%    41%    23%    35%    45%
 Less                 17     20     23     19     18     15     27     17     17
 About the same       45     40     43     45     39     44     48     46     37
 DK/NA                 1      2      3      1      1      -      2      1      2
  
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election")

                                                              MORE..........
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Sep 22  Dec 08
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
  
 More                 38      35      35      38      37      40      32
 Less                 19      26      27      20      21      22      23
 About the same       42      38      37      41      41      37      44
 DK/NA                 2       1       1       1       1       1       1
  
  
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Approve              54%    83%    22%    54%    59%    49%    59%    25%    55%
 Disapprove           27      5     54     27     26     29     24     46     29
 DK/NA                19     12     24     19     15     22     17     29     16
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Approve              58%    60%    69%    66%    63%    55%    73%    62%    63%
 Disapprove           29     21     16     18     22     25     10     23     23
 DK/NA                13     19     15     16     15     20     17     15     15
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Approve              51%    55%    46%    51%    58%    63%    41%    60%    56%
 Disapprove           34     25     30     28     28     25     29     28     26
 DK/NA                15     21     25     21     14     12     31     12     17
  
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                              APPROVE.......
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  Jan 26  Jan 10  Nov 11  Sep 21  May 23  Feb 03
                      2012    2012    2012    2011    2011    2012    2011
  
 Approve              54      48      50      49      49      54      42
 Disapprove           27      33      29      29      31      27      20
 DK/NA                19      20      21      22      20      19      37
  
  
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Approve              44%     6%    90%    39%    38%    49%    34%    91%    52%
 Disapprove           52     91      7     56     58     47     63      7     43
 DK/NA                 3      3      2      5      4      3      3      2      5
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Approve              41%    31%    25%    28%    28%    40%    19%    34%    33%
 Disapprove           56     66     73     67     69     57     78     62     64
 DK/NA                 3      3      2      5      4      3      3      4      3
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Approve              48%    43%    53%    49%    42%    35%    53%    44%    42%
 Disapprove           48     54     44     49     56     61     40     52     56
 DK/NA                 4      3      4      3      2      4      7      3      2
  
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

                                                              APPROVE.......
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Feb 19  Sep 22
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
  
 Approve              44      46      47      46      42      64      39
 Disapprove           52      50      49      52      54      23      57
 DK/NA                 3       4       5       2       4      13       5
  
  
 
20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Yes/Deserves         44%     4%    91%    41%    40%    47%    35%    88%    49%
 No/Does not          52     93      7     54     57     48     62      6     43
 DK/NA                 4      3      3      5      3      5      3      6      8
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Yes/Deserves         41%    32%    23%    30%    31%    38%    16%    35%    35%
 No/Does not          56     65     75     67     67     58     80     63     62
 DK/NA                 4      3      2      3      3      3      3      3      3
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Yes/Deserves         48%    42%    51%    48%    42%    37%    53%    44%    41%
 No/Does not          47     54     44     47     56     62     42     52     56
 DK/NA                 4      4      5      5      2      1      5      3      3
  
 
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 50% May 2011)

                                                              DESERVES......
                                                              High    Low
                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Mar 28* Sep 22
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011
  
 Yes/Deserves         44      45      50      47      44      50      41
 No/Does not          52      50      47      49      52      47      53
 DK/NA                 4       5       3       4       4       3       6
  
  
 
22. Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Yes                  76%    58%    98%    73%    76%    76%    72%    96%    79%
 No                   21     38      2     23     22     21     25      2     19
 DK/NA                 3      4      1      4      2      3      3      2      2
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Yes                  80%    69%    65%    71%    72%    72%    64%    73%    72%
 No                   20     27     31     26     26     24     32     24     25
 DK/NA                 1      4      4      3      2      4      4      3      3
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Yes                  82%    74%    77%    79%    81%    71%    80%    80%    74%
 No                   17     23     20     19     18     26     19     18     23
 DK/NA                 1      3      3      2      1      2      1      2      3
  
  
 
23. Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Yes                  58%    84%    33%    58%    63%    54%    63%    40%    56%
 No                   30      9     55     31     28     32     28     42     29
 DK/NA                11      7     12     12      9     14      9     18     15
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Yes                  65%    62%    73%    65%    66%    59%    76%    63%    66%
 No                   30     27     18     29     26     30     13     28     26
 DK/NA                 6     11     10      6      8     11     11      9      8
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Yes                  61%    57%    52%    59%    61%    65%    45%    61%    62%
 No                   33     29     33     30     32     29     37     31     28
 DK/NA                 6     14     15     11      6      6     19      8     10
  
  
 
24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Obama                40%     4%    85%    35%    36%    43%    32%    81%    40%
 Romney               50     91      7     50     55     45     59      8     42
 DK/NA                10      5      8     16      9     11      8     10     18
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Obama                39%    29%    21%    27%    29%    36%    14%    32%    33%
 Romney               56     61     71     64     65     54     76     60     60
 DK/NA                 5     10      8      9      7     10     10      8      7
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Obama                45%    38%    47%    44%    39%    31%    43%    41%    39%
 Romney               48     50     40     48     51     65     42     50     53
 DK/NA                 7     12     14      9     10      4     16      9      8
  
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

                      May 23  May 03  Mar 28  Jan 26  Jan 11  Dec 08  Nov 10
                      2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2011
  
 Obama                40      40      45      41      39      41      39
 Romney               50      49      48      50      52      49      49
 DK/NA                10      11       7       9       9      10      12
  
  
 
28. In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Support              40%    16%    65%    41%    35%    44%    39%    45%    40%
 Oppose               50     76     25     46     55     46     53     37     49
 DK/NA                10      7     10     13     10     10      8     18     11
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Support              46%    35%    24%    35%    33%    44%    15%    41%    33%
 Oppose               47     56     67     55     58     48     79     49     58
 DK/NA                 8      9      8     10      9      8      6      9     10
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Support              45%    38%    41%    40%    41%    45%    57%    38%    36%
 Oppose               45     52     47     54     48     50     33     52     55
 DK/NA                10     10     13      7     11      5     10     10      9
  
  
 
29. Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Marry                36%    13%    57%    38%    32%    39%    35%    33%    40%
 Civil unions         34     46     21     35     35     34     36     27     30
 No recognition       23     34     14     21     26     20     23     27     23
 DK/NA                 8      8      7      6      8      8      7     13      7
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Marry                42%    32%    21%    33%    29%    41%    13%    38%    28%
 Civil unions         40     34     40     42     38     33     38     40     39
 No recognition       15     26     33     17     26     20     41     17     25
 DK/NA                 3      8      6      8      7      6      7      6      8
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Marry                40%    34%    37%    34%    36%    43%    50%    36%    32%
 Civil unions         38     32     24     36     41     39     21     34     39
 No recognition       16     25     27     26     18     14     21     24     22
 DK/NA                 6      9     12      5      5      4      8      7      8
  
 
TREND: Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions, but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?

                      May 23  Jan 22  Sep 8   Aug 8
                      2012    2009    2008    2007
  
 Marry                36      27      27      27
 Civil unions         34      35      35      29
 No recognition       23      31      31      35
 DK/NA                 8       7       6       9
  
  
 
30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on same-sex marriage, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Obama                52%    23%    82%    55%    49%    55%    47%    72%    56%
 Romney               31     60      6     25     35     27     38      7     21
 DK/NA                17     17     11     21     16     19     16     21     23
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Obama                54%    43%    34%    46%    43%    50%    27%    50%    45%
 Romney               34     39     50     38     42     33     59     34     39
 DK/NA                12     17     17     16     14     17     14     16     16
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Obama                56%    50%    55%    56%    51%    51%    64%    53%    48%
 Romney               30     31     24     29     37     34     18     32     35
 DK/NA                14     19     21     15     13     15     18     15     17
  
  
 
31. How important will the issue of same-sex marriage be in your vote for President this year; extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not important?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 Extremely important  10%    12%     8%    10%     9%    11%     9%    13%    13%
 Very important       12     12     12     12     11     13     11     10     19
 Somewhat important   26     26     33     22     22     30     27     23     25
 Not important        49     49     46     54     56     44     51     49     41
 DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      1      2      1      4      2
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 Extremely important   6%    11%    13%     6%     9%    10%    18%     7%    10%
 Very important       11     11     12      7     10     11     16      8     10
 Somewhat important   31     26     27     29     22     33     27     27     25
 Not important        53     51     46     57     58     45     38     57     54
 DK/NA                 -      2      1      1      1      1      2      1      1
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 Extremely important   7%    12%    16%    12%    11%     4%    12%     7%    10%
 Very important       10     13     13     11     10     11     13     13     11
 Somewhat important   29     25     29     27     22     30     33     24     26
 Not important        55     48     38     49     57     56     41     54     51
 DK/NA                 -      2      3      1      -      -      1      1      2
  
  
 
32. As you may know, Barack Obama supports same-sex marriage. Does Barack Obama's support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it make a difference?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 More likely          11%     1%    21%     9%    10%    12%     9%    11%    17%
 Less likely          25     43      7     23     26     24     28     13     22
 No difference        63     54     70     67     63     63     61     73     59
 DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      2      2      1      3      2
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 More likely          14%     7%     6%     7%     7%    11%     3%    10%     6%
 Less likely          24     30     41     22     30     26     52     21     29
 No difference        61     62     52     70     61     62     43     68     62
 DK/NA                 1      2      1      2      2      1      2      2      2
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 More likely          12%    10%    10%    12%    12%    11%    18%     9%     9%
 Less likely          22     26     25     25     25     20     19     22     28
 No difference        65     62     61     62     63     69     63     68     61
 DK/NA                 1      2      3      1      1      -      -      1      2
  
  
 
33. As you may know, Mitt Romney opposes same-sex marriage. Does Mitt Romney's opposition to same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it make a difference?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 More likely          23%    44%     5%    20%    25%    22%    26%    10%    23%
 Less likely          19      3     34     17     18     19     17     18     25
 No difference        56     51     59     59     55     56     56     66     46
 DK/NA                 2      1      1      4      2      3      1      5      5
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 More likely          23%    27%    39%    22%    28%    24%    52%    18%    29%
 Less likely          22     14      9     13     15     19      6     16     15
 No difference        54     57     50     64     56     56     40     65     55
 DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      2      1      2      1      2
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 More likely          20%    24%    24%    25%    23%    19%    19%    19%    27%
 Less likely          21     17     22     16     17     19     30     16     16
 No difference        57     55     51     58     59     60     49     64     55
 DK/NA                 1      3      4      1      2      1      2      1      2
  
  
 
34. As you may know, Mitt Romney opposes civil unions for same-sex couples. Does Mitt Romney's opposition to civil unions for same-sex couples make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it make a difference?

                      Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
  
 More likely          15%    28%     4%    14%    16%    14%    17%     9%    16%
 Less likely          23      3     41     26     23     24     22     23     26
 No difference        59     66     53     57     59     59     59     63     53
 DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      3      2      5      4
  
                      WHITE..............................................
                      COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv  Miltry
                      Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No  HsHold
  
 More likely          14%    18%    25%    15%    18%    15%    34%    11%    18%
 Less likely          29     19     14     16     20     24      9     22     18
 No difference        56     60     59     67     60     58     54     66     61
 DK/NA                 1      3      3      1      2      2      4      2      2
  
                      COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                      Yes    No     100K  18-34  35-54  55+
  
 More likely          13%    16%    16%    18%    15%    10%    16%    14%    16%
 Less likely          28     21     28     20     23     23     37     19     21
 No difference        58     59     51     62     60     65     45     66     60
 DK/NA                 1      3      5      1      2      2      2      1      3
  
 

Demographic Summary

jessica biel tim howard west virginia rob roy gaslight justin timberlake michael dyer

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